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This thread attempts to explain some important concepts about market cycles using examples from George Soros's "Alchemy of Finance" and Brent Donnelly's "Alpha Trader". The thread goes over Reflexivity, Boom-Bust Sequences, and Narrative Cycles, highlighting their relevance in understanding market trends and behaviors. It also provides tips on how to better interpret market narratives.
This thread aims to debunk current Bitcoin ETF volume and flow narratives. The author points out discrepancies in reported flows due to the settlement mismatch between spot Bitcoin and ETFs. He encourages followers to take a look at the data themselves to understand the actual situation, suggesting that actual Bitcoin ETF inflows are around $1 billion, rather than the figures touted by some news sources and influencers.
The use of DeFi Oracles, data providers for decentralized platforms, has been criticized due to high latency periods leading to capital exploitation. Node operators have a window to manipulate price feeds, creating a problem known as Oracle Extractable Value (OEV). Companies like AAVE have experienced ongoing attacks because of OEV. Solutions such as API3's implementation of fair system OEV extraction through order flow auctions offer hope. Decentralized oracles like UMA and API3 are also exploring similar strategies to preserve data integrity.
The SEC experienced a breach on its X account due to a SIM swap attack where an unauthorized party gained access to the account and published a false post about bitcoin ETFs. The SEC, which had disabled two-factor authentication, regained control of the account and has since re-enabled the security measure. The breach did not impact the SEC's systems or data, but it did cause hundreds of millions of dollars of liquidations across the crypto markets.
Dogecoin and Floki saw a 12% surge after rumors of payment integrations into X surfaced. Dogecoin enthusiasts began speculating that their fellow Dogecoin fan, Elon Musk, might include Dogecoin as an option in the future.
X offers plenty of hidden alpha when used correctly. This post provides eight curated lists of resources and experts in various areas of crypto that can help you stay up to speed in the space.
In 2023, global crypto ownership rose by 34% to 580 million, with Bitcoin and Ethereum seeing significant growth due in part to developments like Bitcoin ETFs, Ordinals, and Ethereum's Shanghai Upgrade.
Terraform Labs, creator of TerraUSD and Luna, officially filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, aiming to continue operations and resolve legal issues.
Design studio Play collaborated with OpenAI to create an identity for OpenAI's DevDay conference. It centered its design around the concept of a "bit," the smallest unit of computer data, and used the concept creatively across various touchpoints, including the stage design and event swag. Play balanced modern design with familiar typography and warm colors to capture the essence of the conference and its focus on technology's role in our future.
Rabbit CEO Jesse Lyu's unique approach to building the Rabbit R1 included buying Tamagotchis for each team member, drawing inspiration from walkie-talkies, and considering phones in the user experience. The risk associated with integrating AI into the experience could be mitigated if the device looked and felt familiar. Lyu believes pursuing the hardware path will result in a more defensible business, especially if it is coupled with an attractive price point.
The MyArcade Atari Gamestation Portable, unveiled at CES 2024, features a 7-inch high-resolution display and over 200 preloaded Atari games. Several classic Atari 2600 features, including Trak-ball, paddle, and keypad, were incorporated into the portable format, along with a d-pad and ABXY buttons. The Atari Gamestation Portable is expected to launch in September or October 2024 with a price tag of $149.
Five potential roles for designers in an AI-driven world are Meta-Designer, Chief Ontology Officer, Coherence Generator, Drifting Clarifier, and Pattern Wrangler. These roles emphasize the importance of designers' ability to think creatively, solve complex problems, and work collaboratively.
There are three tree-testing metrics that designers should focus on: success rate, or how many users found the right category; directness, or the percentage of users who went to the right category immediately; and time spent, or the average amount of time elapsed from the beginning to the end of the task.
The opportunity gap survey measures how satisfied people are with current solutions compared to how important each insight is. It's the difference between the perceived importance and the perceived level of satisfaction. The more significant the gap between someone's essential beliefs and their current level of satisfaction, the bigger the opportunity.
A CSS-only loader configuration tool allows designers to customize and generate stunning website loaders. The generated loader code can be copied and pasted without installation or dependencies.
This website showcases the power of UI/UX animation in conveying the mood and character of a brand.
Elevate your Figma productivity by checking this fantastic list of shortcuts.
Kant believed that beauty is connected to our perception and a failure of rational understanding. At the same time, the sublime is a feeling of overwhelming power that awakens our moral sense of good and bad. Beauty and the sublime can be found in nature and art, but we must cultivate our taste and character to experience them fully.
The deep-rooted relationship we’re designing and have with our smart devices is creating significant issues that everyone avoids discussing — digital eye strain, dementia, and “Teck neck.” As designers, we are responsible for considering the long-term consequences of our creations and striving to create solutions that benefit everyone rather than just prioritizing profit or attention.
Lanny Smoot, the mind behind Disney's retractable lightsaber, has come up with another brilliant invention. With HoloTile, you can walk continuously without leaving the tile mat. The innovation has no immediate use case, but VR experiences are a strong candidate.
Sharefile's logo changed from dry and bureaucratic into something fun and engaging by making each check come to life in various ways, like animating into a vibrant star or a flywheel. Accompanied by a primary color palette of neutral colors and more vibrant, supportive hues, photography, 3D assets, illustrations, and animations, ShareFile's new look places people at its heart.
There are a lot of common and well-understood accessibility issues, but once you start designing more complex and diverse user experiences, there will be more edge cases. Less frequent but still essential examples include using color to communicate interactivity, traps in focus, inconsistent date fields, and unexpected navigation.
A negative space consists of the space around and between the main elements of an image. While often overlooked in design, they can create a significant impact when done correctly. This post explores the importance of negative space and how to adopt it with some excellent examples.
Google is sunsetting its podcast app in favor of YouTube Music as of April 2. Users will no longer be able to migrate or export their subscriptions after June. This article shows you how to move your Google Podcasts subscriptions directly to YouTube Music or export them as an OPML file, enabling you to upload them to another app. It also lists 6 alternative podcast apps for Android phones, including Pocket Casts, AntennaPod, Castbox, and PodBean.
Meta will soon send a notification to users allowing them to make new privacy choices in response to the DMA in the EU. Users will be able to block Meta from combining usage data from Facebook, Instagram, and other platforms. The move will likely reduce ad targeting effectiveness across platforms. Google is also impacted and recently announced it will ask for consent from users to share data across its products, which it says is required for some features to work.
Performance Max for lead gen is difficult, but it can be done successfully with the right campaign structure. The Fire & Ice Structure involves setting up two pMax campaigns: one targeting the 'warmer' bottom-of-funnel channels, and one designed for 'colder' mid/upper-funnel channels. The assets, bidding, and campaign settings should differ between the two. It should result in cheap traffic and lower-value micro-conversions from the ‘ice’ campaign, plus high-quality traffic and a lower amount of high-value conversions from the ‘fire’ campaign.
E-commerce personalization enhances user experiences by tailoring shopping journeys based on customer preferences. If done right, it can improve satisfaction, loyalty, and sales. This article shares examples such as curated product recommendations and dynamic pricing strategies, using examples from Amazon's continuous shopping feature and Zalando's pricing adjustments based on inventory.
This article includes 3 ChatGPT prompts to better understand your audiences and create buyer personas. The first prompt instructs ChatGPT to analyze organic search results and provide the target persona of each page-1 listing. The second prompt takes a competitor’s web page and returns a list of personas targeted in the copy. The third prompt analyzes a Reddit thread about your company or a competitor and extracts personas from the discussion.
Meta has launched Creator Management Tools in its Business Suite to help agencies and creators manage their relationships on Facebook. The new tools are designed to streamline relationships with creators with features for sharing assets, making payouts, increasing security, and more.
TikTok released a 13-page guide that offers insights into optimizing ad campaigns and bidding strategies. It features case studies, data-backed notes, and practical tips on structuring ad accounts, updating campaigns, and targeting effectively. For instance, it suggests specific ways to optimize an ad account towards the user journey and to adopt the ideal bidding strategy based on the campaign's objective and budget.
Since launching in 2008, Khan Academy has grown into one of the world’s largest nonprofit edtech platforms, with more than $221.5 million in annual revenue. It was able to achieve this with effective brand messaging, which set it apart from competitors and appealed to a large global audience. Khan Academy invested in strategic partnerships to grow its reach and credibility. The company’s investment in SEO and social media increased its online visibility.
This case study dissects Letterboxd's onboarding process. Letterboxd is an app that markets itself as “the social app for film lovers”. Its onboarding and signup experience was confusing and left the author with a poor customer journey. Letterboxd should not have relied on non-contextual instructions to tell people essential information about what the app did. Showing users what the app could do as they’re discovering it is more effective. In addition, using pop-ups during onboarding can be a rough way to start a new customer journey. The author provides alternative UX options to make the experience more welcoming.
This story delves into the transformation of diamond engagement ring culture and traces its roots to strategic marketing campaigns that shaped cultural perceptions through generations.
As consumers prioritize authenticity and reliability in brand promises, clothing brands like Quince and Italic adapt their marketing messages towards the use of natural materials, emphasizing durability and quality.
A summary of why Kyte Baby, a baby apparel company, is under fire for denying an employee time off to take care of her adopted baby.
✅ Leaders from 300+ top tech companies — including Salesforce, Netflix, Amazon, and Google [5] — have already joined the Round community.
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Professional growth doesn’t happen in a vacuum. The best leaders are lifelong learners who surrounding themselves with a close knit community of people who offer support and insight. With the rate of change in tech, growing alongside other top leaders who understand the challenges you face is the difference between having a job and the career you want. Round [5] is a private network of senior product and engineering leaders. With peer-based learning, member events, and a vibrant
The journey of Pilot's founders, Jessica McKellar, Waseem Daher, and Jeff Arnold, highlights their strategic approach to achieving product-market fit and customer satisfaction. The founders focused on solving prevalent business problems, maintaining a customer-centric approach, and strategically expanding their product suite without compromising customer satisfaction.
WhatsApp grew daily users in the U.S. by 9% in 2023, especially amongst iPhone users. Factors contributing to this surge include cross-OS compatibility, a rise in international travel, and its reputation as a dependable super-app for business communications.
Apple's Vision Pro headset has immense potential as a personalized device for on-the-go media consumption. This article addresses the absence of major streaming services on the Vision Pro. It speculates on why and suggests potential strategies for Apple, including deepening partnerships to enhance content offerings.
In enterprise product management, achieving strategic balance and engaging stakeholders with nuance is essential for managing single or multiple products within large-scale organizations. This article highlights critical skills and tools for orchestrating complex product portfolios and driving success in an enterprise organization.
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STEEPLE (an acronym for Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, Political, Legal, and Ethical) is a framework for identifying contextual factors that may affect product success. Awareness of these factors can help teams reduce risks in future investments.
This is a collection of Notion templates, ranging from user research to usability testing. PMs can use tools like the 'Minimal Assumption Map' for validating product design assumptions and the 'Impact Effort Matrix' for project prioritization, ensuring an organized and efficient approach to product development and testing.
Understanding financial metrics, like Customer Lifetime Value and Churn Rate, enables informed decisions about product growth, customer retention, and overall financial health.