TLDR PRODUCT MANAGEMENT 2026-03-24

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THE FIRST WAVE OF THE AI BUBBLE BURSTING: MY PREDICTIONS

“We do X but with AI” startups will collapse as users and platforms absorb their value. Real winners will solve meaningful problems beyond simply adding AI.

HOW DOES BEHAVIOR CHANGE HAPPEN

Behavior change depends on motivation, low friction, and repetition. Lasting habits come from small, consistent actions reinforced over time.

YOU CAN QUANTIFY COST. HERE ARE FOUR WAYS TO MEASURE JUDGMENT

AI makes building easy, so the real advantage is judgment - knowing what to build and why. A simple rubric helps teams evaluate and improve decision-making by focusing on evidence, clarity, trade-offs, and impact.

SORRY, DESIGNERS, WE DON'T DECIDE THE FUTURE OF DESIGN

Design is shaped by market forces, not designers. As AI automates execution, the real value shifts to judgment, framing problems, and making decisions.

engineering team getting buried.

Download the MCP playbook for product leaders.

SCALE IS A TACTIC, NOT A VIRTUE

Scale is not inherently good. It is a strategic choice driven by incentives. Founders should decide if scaling truly serves their goals, not assume it is required.

EVALS ARE THE NEW PRD. HERE IS THE PLAYBOOK (52 MINUTE VIDEO)

AI product development is shifting from intuition-based “vibe checks” to structured evals, where data, tasks, and scoring functions define product quality and replace traditional PRDs. The teams that win build continuous eval loops, making evals the core system for improving AI products.

THE GREAT CIRCLE OF LIFE

Nothing is truly “dead” in tech. The real constraint is human behavior. AI's success depends on how well it fits into real workflows.

PRODUCT DESIGN IS CHANGING IN THE WORLD OF AI AND AGENTIC TOOLS

AI makes building fast, so the real bottleneck is deciding what to build. Designers must shift from execution to judgment, combining technical fluency with strategic thinking.

HOW TO USE SCHEDULE ADVANCES AND SLACK TO CREATE NEW OPPORTUNITIES

Overloading work causes delays, while slack creates opportunities.

PIRATES SHIP. ARCHITECTS SCALE

Engineering teams can be reduced to two roles: pirates who discover and ship value quickly, and architects who stabilize and scale what works.