BITCOIN STAYS BELOW $112K AFTER TOUGH JOBS REPORT AND FED CUT BETS
The August US jobs report revealed only 22,000 job additions versus 75,000 expected, pushing Fed rate cut probability to 100% for the September 17 meeting, yet Bitcoin failed to capitalize on this typically bullish macro development and remains below $112,000. Technical analysis shows BTC has confirmed a bearish double-top breakdown below the $111,982 neckline, with the next support level at $101,700 around the 200-day moving average. Despite impending rate cuts, analysts warn that Treasury yield volatility could increase, potentially creating financial tightening conditions similar to late 2024 when the 10-year yield actually rose from 3.6% to 4.8% even as the Fed cut rates. The upcoming August CPI data next week is expected to show continued inflation stickiness at around 2.9% year-over-year, which could limit the downside in Treasury yields and maintain pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.