TLDR Hardware · MISCELLANEOUS
WHY COMPUTE MIGHT GET 10X MORE EXPENSIVE IN COMING YEARS
Summary from the TLDR Hardware newsletter
GPU spot rental rates could surge 10x–15x as frontier models gain human-level software engineering capabilities. Physical GPU supply only scales ~3x annually due to fab and packaging bottlenecks, so the immense economic value of automated labor will drive inference willingness-to-pay far higher than current market spot prices.