TLDR Marketing · STRATEGIES & TACTICS

THERE ARE TWO KINDS OF EXPERIMENTERS, ONE FOR SCIENCE AND ONE FOR BUSINESS. WHICH ARE YOU?

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Summary from the TLDR Marketing newsletter

There are two kinds of experimenters, one optimizing for scientific certainty and one optimizing for business speed. Strict significance rules like p < 0.05 are designed to avoid false positives, but large-scale studies show they can leave over a quarter of value on the table and sometimes underperform doing nothing. The real issue is decision-making, not testing, since teams stall debating results instead of acting. A better approach is to define intent upfront, either proving superiority or checking non-inferiority, and tune thresholds to the real cost of being wrong.