2028: TWO SCENARIOS FOR GLOBAL AI LEADERSHIP

Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter

Anthropic outlines two possible 2028 global AI leadership scenarios: one where the US retains its compute advantage and shapes AI norms, and another where China competes closely due to policy inaction. The US currently leads due to strong export controls and advanced chip technology preventing China from keeping pace. Closing loopholes on compute access and restricting distillation attacks are crucial for maintaining the US lead and ensuring democracies shape AI governance.