TLDR Founders · STRATEGIES & TACTICS

BEWARE OF REDUCTIONIST THINKING

links.tldrnewsletter.com4 min read

Summary from the TLDR Founders newsletter

You hit your DAU number, but the usage was fleeting. You hit your revenue, but half of it was bad revenue. Simplicity is seductive but not the same as truth. Every clean metric has a domain where it works and a domain where it lies to you. Before betting the company on one, find where it breaks, zoom in and out on the same question, run two different mental models against each other, think probabilistically rather than statically, and hold the conclusion loosely. Worth doing before your next strategy doc circulates.