AIS CAN NOW OFTEN DO MASSIVE EASY-TO-VERIFY SWE TASKS AND I'VE UPDATED TOWARDS SHORTER TIMELINES

Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter

There is now an almost 2x higher probability of full AI R&D automation by the end of 2028. Strong performance in easy-and-cheap-to-verify SWE tasks that don't require new ideas will allow AI to substantially speed up AI R&D. A lot of the work in AI R&D involves these types of tasks, and AI can complete them significantly cheaper and faster than humans.