TLDR AI · DEEP DIVES & ANALYSIS
SOME THOUGHTS ON AI
Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter
Gemini 3 shows that scaling laws for pretraining are intact. This means that Blackwell models are likely to show a significant increase in performance when they come out next year. GPT-5 was not evidence of a slowdown in scaling laws - the model was designed to be cheaper to inference, not better. While Gemini 3 was trained on TPUs, coherent FLOPs is what matters for pre-training, so the results should transfer to Blackwell chips fine.