TLDR AI · DEEP DIVES & ANALYSIS

WHAT'S UP WITH ANTHROPIC PREDICTING AGI BY EARLY 2027?

lesswrong.com23 min read

Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter

To get Nobel-Prize-winning AIs by early 2027, AIs must fully automate researching engineering by December 2026 and go from completing hour-long tasks today to completing two-week-long tasks in just the next 8 months. OpenAI is only slightly more conservative than Anthropic, estimating automated AI research by March 2028.