TLDR · MISCELLANEOUS

FAILING TO UNDERSTAND THE EXPONENTIAL, AGAIN

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Summary from the TLDR newsletter

Many people look at the current state of AI, see the mistakes it makes, and then somehow jump to the conclusion that AI will never be able to do tasks at a human level. A few years ago, our current AI models were just science fiction. AI is improving at an exponential rate. It will be surprising if these improvements suddenly stop. Even a relatively conservative extrapolation of the trends suggests that by the end of 2027, models will frequently outperform experts on many tasks.