TRUST ME BRO, JUST ONE MORE RL SCALE UP, THIS ONE WILL BE THE REAL SCALE UP WITH THE GOOD ENVIRONMENTS, THE ACTUALLY LEGIT ONE, TRUST ME BRO

Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter

AI companies haven't actually done a good job of scaling up RL - they've scaled up to compute, but with low-quality data. While some argue that once these companies actually scale RL up, there will be a big jump in AI capabilities, it is more likely that progress will be the result of numerous hard-won advances. Higher quality RL environments will be a substantial part of what drives progress over the next year or two, and maybe beyond that, but significant improvements will come from several advances, not just scaling RL.