WHY I DON'T THINK AGI IS RIGHT AROUND THE CORNER

Summary from the TLDR AI newsletter

It's hard to get normal humanlike labor out of LLMs because they lack some fundamental capabilities. They don't get better over time, and this lack of continual learning is a huge problem. There's no way to give models human-level feedback, so users are stuck with the abilities they have out of the box. Messing around with system prompts doesn't produce anything close to the kind of learning and improvement that human employees experience. Humans are able to build up context, interrogate their own failures, and pick up small improvements and efficiencies as they practice a task.