TLDR Web Dev · OPINIONS & ADVICE

ASKING THE WRONG QUESTIONS

ben-evans.com6 min read

Summary from the TLDR Web Dev newsletter

With fundamental technological change, we tend to make predictions about the wrong things rather than getting our predictions wrong. This has been illustrated in the past, such as in 1950s science fiction, which was unable to envision women working, or the RAND study from 1964 which predicted automatic doctors and robots but missed the rise of general-purpose computing and the internet. This pattern continues today, with the focus on predicting the next big thing like VR or autonomous vehicles while overlooking the potential implications of underlying technological shifts.