MY AI TIMELINES HAVE SPED UP (AGAIN)

Summary from the TLDR newsletter

This article is an update to a post in 2020 that made predictions on when artificial general intelligence (AGI) will be achieved. It defines AGI as an AI system that matches or exceeds humans at almost all economically valuable work. The previous post predicted a 10% chance by 2035, but this has now changed to a 10% chance by 2028 and a 25% chance by 2035. The author believes there is a 90% chance that humans will develop AGI by 2070.